Sport Picks
Derby U23 vs Everton U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire 
Match Events
19'
19'
Cannon T.
Assist: Price I.
37'
37'
Price I.
46'
46'
Sub
Ebiowei M. In: Shonibare J.
Out: Ebiowei M.
AI Match Summary
Everton U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derby U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Derby U23 haven't matched Everton U23's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Derby U23 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Everton U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Everton U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U23 | Everton U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.88 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.88 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Everton U23
0:2
Sep 10, 2021 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
1:0
Feb 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Everton U23
1:3
Sep 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
4:1
Feb 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Everton U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cannon T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U23 34 / 100
Everton U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U23 Everton U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U23 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Everton U23 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Everton U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby U23 VS Everton U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U23
(Home) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
13 Mar
Derby U23
0 : 0 Leicester U23
07 Mar
Derby U23
4 : 3 Sheffield Utd U23
21 Feb
Derby U23
0 : 2 Everton U23
Page 1 of 4
Everton U23
(Away) 29 Apr
Manchester City U23
7 : 0 Everton U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4 West Ham U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0 Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Everton U23
0 : 2 Blackburn U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0 Everton U23
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Manchester City U23
7 : 0 Everton U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0 Everton U23
11 Mar
Brighton U23
4 : 2 Everton U23
21 Feb
Derby U23
0 : 2 Everton U23
11 Feb
Burnley U23
2 : 1 Everton U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
