Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby U23 vs Everton U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Derby U23 Logo

Derby U23

0 - 2
FT
Everton U23 Logo

Everton U23

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Cannon T.
Assist: Price I.
37'
Price I.
46'
Sub
Ebiowei M. In: Shonibare J.
Out: Ebiowei M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Everton U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
15%
Draws
85%
Everton U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Derby U23 at 1.67 per game, Everton U23 at 1.27.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Derby U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Everton U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Everton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 Everton U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Everton U23
0:2
Sep 10, 2021 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
1:0
Feb 1, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Everton U23
1:3
Sep 28, 2020 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
4:1
Feb 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Derby U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Everton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cannon T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 34 / 100
Everton U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 Everton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U23 scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Everton U23 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Everton U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS Everton U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7

Everton U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Manchester City U23
7 : 0
Everton U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4
West Ham U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Everton U23
0 : 2
Blackburn U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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