Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby U23 vs Leicester U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Pride Park, Derby
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Foulkes H. In: Seaden H.
Out: Foulkes H.
34'
Aghatise O.
46'
Sub
Wilson T. In: Matthews A.
Out: Wilson T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
15%
Draws
85%
Leicester U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leicester U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Derby U23 at 1.67 per game, Leicester U23 at 1.43.
  • Leicester U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Leicester U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 Leicester U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 Premier League 2
Leicester U23 vs Derby U23
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Leicester U23
0:0
Feb 8, 2021 Premier League 2
Leicester U23 vs Derby U23
1:2
Oct 2, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Leicester U23
2:1
Apr 2, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Leicester U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
Leicester U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 Leicester U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U23 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Derby U23 scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Leicester U23 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS Leicester U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7

Leicester U23

(Away)
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2
Leicester U23
25 Apr
Leicester U23
0 : 4
Liverpool U23
18 Apr
Leicester U23
4 : 1
Blackburn U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)