Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Musaba A.
27'
27'
Maghoma P.
Assist: Stacey J.
38'
38'
Nyambe R.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Derby and Norwich finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norwich.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norwich
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Norwich carry the better recent record into this one.
- 76% — that's where the model lands on Norwich taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Derby Clean Sheet 13%
Norwich Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
0:4
Apr 21, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Derby
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Championship
Norwich vs Derby
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Championship
Derby vs Norwich
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Norwich Compare
Top Goalscorer Musaba A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maghoma P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby 10 / 100
Norwich 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby Norwich
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Norwich Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Norwich conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Derby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby VS Norwich
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby
(Home) 03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
31 Oct
Millwall
4 : 1 Derby
24 Oct
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 Derby
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
14 Oct
QPR
4 : 1 Derby
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
17 Oct
Derby
0 : 1 Stoke City
10 Oct
Derby
1 : 1 Wrexham
12 Sept
Derby
1 : 2 Birmingham
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1 West Brom
Page 1 of 3
Norwich
(Away) 03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
31 Oct
Norwich
3 : 2 Watford
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3 Norwich
17 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Portsmouth
14 Oct
Norwich
0 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Derby
0 : 4 Norwich
24 Oct
Charlton
1 : 3 Norwich
10 Oct
Swansea
2 : 1 Norwich
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0 Norwich
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:14 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36:21 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 27:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 22:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11:29 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
