Sport Picks
Derby vs Sheffield Utd
England
Championship 2025/2026 Pride Park, Derby 
Match Events
5'
5'
Szmodics S.
18'
18'
Langas S.
26'
26'
Clarke M.
AI Match Summary
Sheffield Utd in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheffield Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheffield Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Not much separates Derby and Sheffield Utd on recent form.
- Win probability leans Sheffield Utd's way, sitting at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sheffield Utd have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Derby Clean Sheet 14%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Derby vs Sheffield Utd
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Derby
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Championship
Derby vs Sheffield Utd
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Derby
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Derby vs Sheffield Utd
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby Compare
Top Goalscorer Szmodics S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sheffield Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Cannon T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peck S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby 15 / 100
Sheffield Utd 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby Sheffield Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sheffield Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Derby scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Sheffield Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Derby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby VS Sheffield Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby
(Home) 15 Aug
Charlton
2 : 1 Derby
08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2 Lincoln City
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2 Lincoln City
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
02 May
Derby
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
18 Apr
Derby
1 : 0 Oxford Utd
06 Apr
Derby
2 : 0 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
Sheffield Utd
(Away) 15 Aug
Sheffield Utd
0 : 0 Birmingham
09 Aug
Mansfield
0 : 3 Sheffield Utd
01 Aug
Bochum
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2 Sheffield Utd
21 Jul
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Mansfield
0 : 3 Sheffield Utd
01 Aug
Bochum
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2 Sheffield Utd
17 Jul
Levante
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
