Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby W vs Burnley W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026 Don Amott Arena, Derby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2025/2026 game between Derby W and Burnley W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burnley W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Derby W
20%
Draws
20%
Burnley W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burnley W come out ahead of Derby W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Derby W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Burnley W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Burnley W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.17 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Burnley W
0:3
Nov 16, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Derby W
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Burnley W
0:4
Oct 6, 2024 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Derby W
2:0
May 5, 2024 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Derby W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 56 / 100
Burnley W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Burnley W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Burnley W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Burnley W conceded in 28% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Burnley W
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 6

Burnley W

(Away)
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
30 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
3 : 1
Burnley W
29 Jul
Valencia W
0 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley W 22 20 2 0 63:5 62
2 Wolverhampton W 22 20 1 1 70:10 61
3 Rugby Borough W 22 12 5 5 43:27 41
4 Stoke City LFC W 22 10 3 9 36:31 33
5 Middlesbrough W 22 8 7 7 29:30 31
6 West Brom W 22 9 4 9 29:31 31
7 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 5 10 44:45 26
8 Derby W 22 6 4 12 18:39 22
9 Hull City W 22 5 5 12 23:54 20
10 Loughborough Lightning W 22 4 7 11 21:43 19
11 Halifax W 22 4 4 14 15:38 16
12 Sporting Khalsa W 22 3 1 18 18:56 10
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs (Main)