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Derby W vs Guiseley Vixens W

England England

Women's National League North 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W play Guiseley Vixens W in the Women's National League North 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derby W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Guiseley Vixens W averaged 1.82 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Derby W won 4, Guiseley Vixens W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2019 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Derby W and 1.19 for Guiseley Vixens W. This points to a Derby W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Derby W
17%
Draws
34%
Guiseley Vixens W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Derby W picked up more points recently compared to Guiseley Vixens W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Derby W Clean Sheet 20%
Guiseley Vixens W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Guiseley Vixens W
Matches Played 45 34
Wins 19 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Women's National League North
Guiseley Vixens W vs Derby W
1:4
Dec 2, 2018 Women’s FA Cup
Guiseley Vixens W vs Derby W
0:2
Oct 21, 2018 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Guiseley Vixens W
2:1
Mar 25, 2018 Women's National League North
Guiseley Vixens W vs Derby W
0:2
Feb 11, 2018 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Guiseley Vixens W
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 48 / 100
Guiseley Vixens W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Guiseley Vixens W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Derby W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derby W attacking → ← attacking Guiseley Vixens W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W scored in 71% of their last 45 games.

Guiseley Vixens W let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Derby W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guiseley Vixens W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 40
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blackburn W22182268:1756
2Leicester W22144468:3246
3Middlesbrough W22140863:5242
4Stoke City LFC W22124652:3840
5AFC Fylde W22106635:3536
6Huddersfield W22105745:2735
7Derby W22751027:3726
8Bradford City W22741140:4525
9Nottingham W22541323:5719
10Guiseley Vixens W22451333:5617
11Wolverhampton W22451330:5617
12West Brom W22421627:5914