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Derby W vs Hull City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Derby W and Hull City W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Derby W
15%
Draws
8%
Hull City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derby W come out ahead of Hull City W on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Derby W taking it.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Derby W Clean Sheet 20%
Hull City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Hull City W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Hull City W
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Hull City W
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Derby W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Hull City W
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Women's National League North
Hull City W vs Derby W
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 85 / 100
Hull City W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Hull City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hull City W conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Derby W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Derby W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Hull City W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
Page 1 of 7

Hull City W

(Away)
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Hull City W
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
20 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Hull City W
13 Sept
Stoke City LFC W
3 : 0
Hull City W
30 Aug
Hull City W
1 : 4
Liverpool Feds W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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