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Derby W vs Liverpool Feds W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
Sun, Dec 6, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W host Liverpool Feds W in the Women's National League North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Derby W at 1.29 goals for, 1.79 against; Liverpool Feds W at 2.07 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Derby W have won 1 to Liverpool Feds W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.75) back Liverpool Feds W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Derby W
15%
Draws
34%
Liverpool Feds W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Liverpool Feds W average 2.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Derby W's 1.29.
  • Derby W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Derby W Clean Sheet 12%
Liverpool Feds W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Liverpool Feds W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.29 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Women's National League North
Liverpool Feds W vs Derby W
5:1
Apr 26, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Liverpool Feds W
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League North
Liverpool Feds W vs Derby W
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Women's National League North
Liverpool Feds W vs Derby W
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Liverpool Feds W
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 65 / 100
Liverpool Feds W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Liverpool Feds W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Derby W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Liverpool Feds W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Derby W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Liverpool Feds W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
18 Oct
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 3
Derby W
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool Feds W

(Away)
18 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
0 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
11 Oct
Liverpool Feds W
0 : 3
Stoke City LFC W
04 Oct
Rugby Borough W
3 : 0
Liverpool Feds W
20 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
13 Sept
Liverpool Feds W
2 : 3
West Brom W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)