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Derby W vs Norwich W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W host Norwich W in the Women's National League North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Derby W at 1.29 goals for, 1.79 against; Norwich W at 1.27 for, 1.73 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Derby W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Derby W
30%
Draws
28%
Norwich W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Norwich W haven't matched Derby W's recent run of results.
  • Derby W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Derby W Clean Sheet 16%
Norwich W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Norwich W
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 48 / 100
Norwich W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Norwich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Norwich W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Derby W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Norwich W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Norwich W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
18 Oct
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 3
Derby W
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 6

Norwich W

(Away)
18 Oct
Norwich W
0 : 2
West Brom W
11 Oct
Middlesbrough W
1 : 1
Norwich W
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Norwich W
1 : 1
Stoke City LFC W
13 Sept
Norwich W
2 : 2
Boldmere St Michaels W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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