Sport Picks
Derby W vs Stoke City LFC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's National League North 
AI Match Summary
Derby W host Stoke City LFC W in the Women's National League North. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Stoke City LFC W have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Derby W have conceded 1.77 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Derby W have won 0 to Stoke City LFC W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.88) back Stoke City LFC W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Stoke City LFC W come out ahead of Derby W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Derby W's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Stoke City LFC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby W | Stoke City LFC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Derby W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Stoke City LFC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Solid form: Derby W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Derby W
(Home)Stoke City LFC W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rugby Borough W | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:2 | 21 |
| 2 | West Brom W | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Huddersfield W | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Stoke City LFC W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Liverpool Feds W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Peterborough W | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Norwich W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Loughborough Lightning W | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:19 | 7 |
| 10 | Boldmere St Michaels W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 12 | Hull City W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:17 | 4 |
