Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dereham vs Biggleswade Town

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Biggleswade Town in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dereham
15%
Draws
49%
Biggleswade Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biggleswade Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dereham have won more games recently than Biggleswade Town.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Dereham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Biggleswade Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dereham Clean Sheet 20%
Biggleswade Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dereham Biggleswade Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2022 FA Cup
Dereham vs Biggleswade Town
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dereham 32 / 100
Biggleswade Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dereham Biggleswade Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Biggleswade Town let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Biggleswade Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Biggleswade Town
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Biggleswade Town

(Away)
06 Sept
Biggleswade Town
1 : 3
Hitchin
26 Apr
Leiston
2 : 3
Biggleswade Town
21 Apr
Biggleswade Town
0 : 1
Kettering
18 Apr
Bromsgrove
3 : 0
Biggleswade Town
12 Apr
Biggleswade Town
1 : 1
Redditch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
Charnock Richard 3
Pontefract Collieries 4
Stourbridge 3
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 3
Kimberley Miners Welfare 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Neots 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Tamworth 6
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Stafford 0
Newcastle Town 2
Nantwich 0
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Kempston 1
Bedford 2
Barwell 4
Highgate 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Stocksbridge 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Ashton United 0
Ashington 3
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 2
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Stalybridge 0
Lancaster 1
Bury AFC 2
North Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 2
Penistone Church 1
South Shields 3
Workington 2
Whitby 5
Bishop Auckland 0
Marske United 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
TBD -
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Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Romulus 0
Grantham Town 3
Rugby 4
Lichfield City 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Rushall 1
Redditch 4
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Hertford Town 0
Royston Town 3
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Dunston 3
City Of Liverpool 0
Witton Albion 0
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Liversedge 2
Glossop North End 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Avro 1
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 3
Whitchurch Alport 1
Matlock 0
Ilkeston 2
Edgware Town 1
Grays 4
Dunstable Town 0
Shefford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Chesterfield -
Mickleover 2
Alvechurch 3
Lye Town 1
Harborough 2
Leamington -
TBD -
Nuneaton 3
Belper Town 1
Hednesford 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 3
Loughborough Students 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Worksop 5
Worcester Raiders 0
Goole 0
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 1
Whickham 0
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hyde 4
Morpeth 3
Warrington Town 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Shepshed 1
Coalville Town 3
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Macclesfield 1
St. Albans -
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Bury Town 0
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 5
Enfield Town 1
St Ives Town 4
Barking 0
Telford -
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Stone Old Alleynians 0
Chasetown 1
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Halifax -
Bromley -
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Sheppey United 2
Lewes 10
Three Bridges 2
Erith Town 1
Hereford -
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Bromsgrove 4
Stamford 3
Torquay -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bognor Regis 6
Cray Wanderers 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Hamworthy United 0
Gosport Borough 4
Royal Wootton 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
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Cinderford Town 2
Laverstock & Ford 3
Walton & Hersham 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Midhurst & Easebourne 0
Chatham 6
Maidenhead -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
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Worthing FC -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Marlow 0
Uxbridge 1
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 3
Hastings 0
Eastbourne Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Bath City -
TBD -
Roman Glass St George 0
Hartley Wintney 4
Phoenix Sports 4
Rusthall 1
Sevenoaks 2
Kingstonian 1
Woking -
TBD -
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Southend -
Dartford -
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East Grinstead Town 3
Beckenham Town 5
Holyport 0
Binfield 1
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Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 1
Hendon 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Herne Bay 2
Horsham FC 1
Ashford United 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Metropolitan Police 4
Corinthian 3
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Burgess Hill 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Sholing 5
Ashford Town 2
Westfield 4
Carshalton 5
VCD Athletic 1
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Wincanton Town 2
AFC Totton 9
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Winchester City 5
TBD -
Weymouth -
Welling -
TBD -
Fisher 5
Spelthorne Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Haringey Borough 1
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hornchurch 3
Hitchin 0
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Poole Town 0
Salisbury 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
North Leigh 5
AFC Stoneham 3
Didcot 3
Plymouth Parkway 4
Yate 4
Aylesbury Vale 3
Frome Town 0
Tiverton 1
Chesham 5
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Bracknell Town 4
Harrow Borough 1
Cleethorpes 0
Stratford 4
TBD -
Banbury -
Berkhamsted Town 2
FC Witham Town 1
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Boreham Wood -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
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Basingstoke 2
Weston-super-Mare 4
Blackfield & Langley 2
Shepton Mallet 3
Bishops Cleeve 3
Westbury United 1
Torpoint 1
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 3
Leiston 1
Lowestoft 0
Sheringham 1
Waltham Abbey 7
Buckhurst Hill 2
Brightlingsea 3
Mildenhall 0
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TBD -
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Maidstone -
Aveley 2
Potters 3
Romford 3
Hashtag 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Harlow 0
Kings Langley 2
TBD -
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Aldershot -
Hungerford -
TBD -
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Gloucester City -
Merthyr Town 5
Truro 2
Larkhall 0
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Aylesbury United 0
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Leatherhead 1
Chichester City 2
Willand Rovers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Wimborne 0
Dorchester 1
Farnborough -
TBD -
Hythe 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Enfield FC 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Billericay 4
Leverstock Green 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Dereham 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Quarter-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester 2
Pontefract Collieries 0
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 1
Cheshunt 3
Neots 1
Kidderminster 1
Tamworth 0
Newcastle Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
AFC Fylde 4
Farsley 1
King’s Lynn 4
Bedford 1
Barwell 1
Kettering 4
Stocksbridge 2
Marine 1
Ashington 2
Bradford PA 1
Clitheroe 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 4
Bury AFC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 0
South Shields 5
Whitby 0
Marske United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Rugby 0
Lichfield City 0
Boston United 4
Redditch 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Royston Town 0
Scarborough Athletic 3
Dunston 2
United of Manchester 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Liversedge 1
Chorley 10
Blyth Spartans 2
Guiseley 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Ilkeston 4
Grays 1
Shefford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Harborough 0
Leamington 0
Nuneaton 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 5
Brackley 0
Worksop 2
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Buxton 2
Alfreton 1
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Darlington FC 3
Southport 2
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town 1
Macclesfield 0
St. Albans 2
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 0
St Ives Town 3
Telford 2
Chasetown 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes 1
Three Bridges 5
Hereford 1
Bromsgrove 0
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Gosport Borough 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Laverstock & Ford 0
Walton & Hersham 5
Chatham 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town 1
Worthing FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Uxbridge 0
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 1
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Phoenix Sports 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Dartford 1
Beckenham Town 2
Binfield 4
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Wingate & Finchley 1
Herne Bay 2
Ashford United 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Burgess Hill 1
Chippenham Town 3
Sholing 0
Westfield 1
Carshalton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
AFC Totton 0
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 3
Welling 3
Fisher 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hornchurch 3
Heybridge 2
Braintree 3
Salisbury 1
Oxford City 2
North Leigh 2
Plymouth Parkway 3
Yate 2
Tiverton 1
Chesham 2
Bracknell Town 5
Stratford 0
Banbury 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Concord Rangers 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Shepton Mallet 0
Bishops Cleeve 6
Helston Athletic 7
Needham Market 2
Sheringham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Brightlingsea 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Potters 1
Romford 2
Chelmsford 6
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Hungerford 1
Gloucester City 3
Merthyr Town 3
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
Chichester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Dorchester 0
Farnborough 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield FC 0
Billericay 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Biggleswade Town 3
Semi-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
Chester 4
Hanley Town 0
Cheshunt 1
Kidderminster 2
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde 6
King’s Lynn 6
Kettering 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ashington 5
Clitheroe 1
Bury AFC 3
TBD -
York City -
South Shields 5
Marske United 2
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Boston United 4
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
Curzon Ashton 5
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Shefford 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Nuneaton 0
Gainsborough 0
Worksop 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Buxton 3
Hyde 1
Darlington FC 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Coalville Town 3
Sudbury 0
St Ives Town 3
Chasetown 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Hereford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hanwell Town 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Beckenham Town 5
Binfield 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Herne Bay 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Chippenham Town 2
Carshalton 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Weymouth 3
Welling 0
Hornchurch 3
Braintree 0
Oxford City 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Yate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Banbury 2
Berkhamsted Town 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 7
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 2
Brightlingsea 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Romford 0
Chelmsford 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Gloucester City 0
Merthyr Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Folkestone 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Farnborough 5
Billericay 3
Biggleswade Town 6
Final
Oldham 4
Chester 3
Kidderminster 2
AFC Fylde 4
King’s Lynn 3
Ashington 1
Bury AFC 1
York City 2
South Shields 1
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 1
Basford Utd. 0
Peterborough Sports 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Wrexham 4
Altrincham 3
Gateshead 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Chesterfield 3
Alvechurch 3
Worksop 2
Buxton 2
Hyde 1
Notts County 2
Coalville Town 3
St Ives Town 0
Halifax 3
Bromley 1
Hereford 2
Torquay 4
Hampton & Richmond 3
Yeovil 0
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastleigh 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Sevenoaks 0
Woking 2
Southend 1
Beckenham Town 0
Dagenham & Red. 7
Hendon 2
Chippenham Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weymouth 2
Hornchurch 1
Oxford City 4
Bracknell Town 2
Banbury 1
Boreham Wood 5
Wealdstone 3
Barnet 3
Weston-super-Mare 0
Needham Market 1
Maidstone 0
Chelmsford 2
Aldershot 0
Merthyr Town 2
Folkestone 1
Farnborough 7
Biggleswade Town 0