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Deren vs Amtat FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Deren Logo

Deren

5 - 2
FT
Amtat FC Logo

Amtat FC

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
38' Event
41' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Deren and Amtat FC finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Deren
15%
Draws
19%
Amtat FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / High Confidence
  • Deren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Deren's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deren Clean Sheet 20%
Amtat FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Amtat FC
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 18 1
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2.84 1
Goals Conceded 1.06 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Amtat FC
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 85 / 100
Amtat FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Amtat FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deren's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Amtat FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Deren remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Amtat FC
3.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
Page 1 of 7

Amtat FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 9
FC Ulaanbaatar
16 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
1 : 2
Amtat FC
12 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 2
Central Stallions

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Stallions 6 6 0 0 27:6 18
2 Deren 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
3 FC Ulaanbaatar 4 3 1 0 18:3 10
4 Khovd 5 2 1 2 15:15 7
5 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
6 Hunters 4 1 0 3 8:12 3
7 Khovd Western 5 1 0 4 11:21 3
8 Amtat FC 4 1 0 3 4:17 3
9 Ulaangom City FC 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)