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Deren vs Central Stallions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Deren Logo

Deren

2 - 0
FT
Central Stallions Logo

Central Stallions

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Anand N.
53' Event
Ishikawa H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Deren and Central Stallions finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Deren
15%
Draws
41%
Central Stallions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Central Stallions carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deren Clean Sheet 18%
Central Stallions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Central Stallions
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.82 2.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
0:3
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Central Stallions
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Central Stallions
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
1:0
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Central Stallions vs Deren
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Anand N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ishikawa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Central Stallions Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 36 / 100
Central Stallions 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Central Stallions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Central Stallions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Deren remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Deren's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Central Stallions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Central Stallions
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Central Stallions
0 : 3
Deren
Page 1 of 6

Central Stallions

(Away)
21 Sept
Khovd
0 : 6
Central Stallions
17 Sept
Central Stallions
3 : 0
Hunters
12 Sept
Amtat FC
0 : 2
Central Stallions
11 Aug
Central Stallions
2 : 3
Taiwan Steel
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 23 17 3 3 82:20 54
2 Central Stallions 23 14 5 4 60:26 47
3 Deren 23 14 3 6 70:25 45
4 Khangarid 22 10 4 8 68:34 34
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)