Sport Picks
Deren vs FC Ulaanbaatar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mongolia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Deren host FC Ulaanbaatar in the Premier League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Ulaanbaatar have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Deren have conceded 1.03 and scored 3.13. Head-to-head, Deren have won 1 to FC Ulaanbaatar's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (2.06 - 2.69) back FC Ulaanbaatar to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and FC Ulaanbaatar come out ahead of Deren on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FC Ulaanbaatar's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deren | FC Ulaanbaatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 24 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 3.13 | 3.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Deren found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Deren has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
FC Ulaanbaatar let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Deren
(Home)FC Ulaanbaatar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Ulaanbaatar | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 39:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Central Stallions | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 |
| 4 | Hunters | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 31:17 | 15 |
| 5 | Khovd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24:21 | 10 |
| 6 | Khaan Khuns-Erchim | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:29 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16:37 | 6 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:36 | 6 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City FC | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6:30 | 0 |
