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Deren vs Khangarid

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Deren Logo

Deren

2 - 1
FT
Khangarid Logo

Khangarid

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Myagmar B.
44' Event
Erdeneholog M.
80' Event
Myagmar B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deren in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Deren
20%
Draws
6%
Khangarid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Deren have won more games recently than Khangarid.
  • Deren are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Deren Clean Sheet 14%
Khangarid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Khangarid
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.76 3
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Khangarid
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Premier League
Khangarid vs Deren
2:3
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Khangarid vs Deren
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khangarid
1:1
Jul 10, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khangarid
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Myagmar B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Khangarid Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdeneholog M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 84 / 100
Khangarid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Khangarid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Deren has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deren's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Khangarid let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Khangarid
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
03 Jul
Central Stallions
0 : 3
Deren
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Khangarid

(Away)
06 Jul
Khangarid
0 : 1
Central Stallions
03 Jul
Khangarid
3 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
30 Jun
Deren
2 : 1
Khangarid
27 Jun
Central Stallions
2 : 2
Khangarid
24 Jun
FC Ulaanbaatar
3 : 1
Khangarid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 23 17 3 3 82:20 54
2 Central Stallions 23 14 5 4 60:26 47
3 Deren 23 14 3 6 70:25 45
4 Khangarid 22 10 4 8 68:34 34
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)