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Deren vs Khovd Prediction & H2H Stats

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Deren Logo

Deren

8 - 0
FT
Khovd Logo

Khovd

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
39' Event
45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Deren in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Deren
15%
Draws
35%
Khovd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Deren have won more games recently than Khovd.
  • Deren are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Deren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Deren Clean Sheet 11%
Khovd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Khovd
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 2.91 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.06 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Premier League
Khovd vs Deren
0:6
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khovd
8:0
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Khovd
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Khovd vs Deren
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Premier League
Deren vs Khovd
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 83 / 100
Khovd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Khovd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deren scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Khovd let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Deren remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Khovd
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
01 Oct
Khovd Western
1 : 5
Deren
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
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Khovd

(Away)
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
26 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2 : 8
Khovd
21 Sept
Khovd
0 : 6
Central Stallions
13 Sept
Khovd
4 : 0
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd
7 : 1
Khoromkhon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)