Sport Picks

Mongolia

Premier League

Deren

7 - 1

Ulaangom City FC

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Usukh-Ireedui B.

22'

Naranbaatar K.

28'

Ishikawa H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Deren and Ulaangom City FC finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Deren

Draws

Ulaangom City FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ulaangom City FC haven't matched Deren's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Deren's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Deren Clean Sheet 13%

Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deren	Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played	30	22
Wins	17	3
Draws	4	2
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	3.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	3.63
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Premier League

Deren vs Ulaangom City FC

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

7:1

Oct 5, 2025 Premier League

Ulaangom City FC vs Deren

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Usukh-Ireedui B.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Naranbaatar K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 84 / 100

Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deren Ulaangom City FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deren scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ulaangom City FC conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deren remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Ulaangom City FC

3.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 3.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Ulaanbaatar	16	13	2	1	65:9	41
2	Central Stallions	16	12	3	1	54:14	39
3	Khangarid	16	10	3	3	59:19	33
4	Deren	16	9	3	4	57:16	30
5	Hunters	16	7	3	6	44:27	24
6	Khovd Western	16	5	3	8	29:36	18
7	Khovd	16	4	0	12	28:73	12
8	Khoromkhon	16	2	0	14	27:86	6
9	Ulaangom City FC	16	1	1	14	16:99	4
10	Falcons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0