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Derincespor vs Dersim Spor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Baskan B.
55' Event
Irmak B.
60'
Turk O.

AI Match Summary

Derincespor in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derincespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Derincespor
6%
Draws
4%
Dersim Spor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derincespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dersim Spor lately — more wins on the board than Derincespor.
  • Model gives Derincespor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 10%
Dersim Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derincespor Dersim Spor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.4 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.80 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Dersim Spor
3:1
Nov 27, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Dersim Spor vs Derincespor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Irmak B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akbulut Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Dersim Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Baskan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 83 / 100
Dersim Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derincespor Dersim Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dersim Spor let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Dersim Spor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derincespor VS Dersim Spor
1.4 Goals Scored 1.25
2.8 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Derincespor

(Home)
29 Apr
Erbaaspor
4 : 1
Derincespor
23 Apr
Derincespor
1 : 3
Pazarspor
14 Apr
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Derincespor
09 Apr
Derincespor
3 : 1
Dersim Spor
02 Apr
Duzcespor
4 : 2
Derincespor
Page 1 of 6

Dersim Spor

(Away)
28 Oct
Dersim Spor
0 : 3
Fethiyespor
17 Sept
Dersim Spor
2 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
03 Sept
Dersim Spor
3 : 0
Adanaspor AS
11 Sept
Dersim Spor
0 : 7
Adiyaman FK
14 Sept
Kelkit Bld.
3 : 0
Dersim Spor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)