Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017

Kemerspor 2003

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derincespor play Kemerspor 2003 in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derincespor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Kemerspor 2003 averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Derincespor won 0, Kemerspor 2003 won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 5, 2017 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Derincespor and 0.99 for Kemerspor 2003. This points to a Kemerspor 2003 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Derincespor

28%

Draws

46%

Kemerspor 2003

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kemerspor 2003

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Derincespor picked up more points recently compared to Kemerspor 2003.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Derincespor Clean Sheet 23%

Kemerspor 2003 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derincespor	Kemerspor 2003
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	4	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	17	18
Goals Scored	0.97	1.06
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.59

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Kemerspor 2003

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Oct 22, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Kemerspor 2003 vs Derincespor

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Feb 7, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Kemerspor 2003

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Sep 19, 2015 3. Lig Group 2

Kemerspor 2003 vs Derincespor

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Apr 11, 2015 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Kemerspor 2003

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Kemerspor 2003 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cakirca Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 28 / 100

Kemerspor 2003 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derincespor Kemerspor 2003

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kemerspor 2003 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derincespor attacking → ← attacking Kemerspor 2003

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kemerspor 2003 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Derincespor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kemerspor 2003 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 36

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodrumspor	34	19	8	7	59:31	65
2	Erbaaspor	34	16	12	6	48:29	60
3	Silivrispor	34	16	10	8	34:25	58
4	Manisa FK	34	15	13	6	59:37	58
5	Catalca Spor	34	15	10	9	42:33	55
6	Duzcespor	34	14	12	8	55:46	54
7	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	15	8	11	46:39	53
8	Kirikhanspor	34	12	11	11	36:39	47
9	Kemerspor 2003	34	11	12	11	52:45	45
10	Yomraspor	34	10	14	10	28:29	44
11	Bucaspor 1928	34	11	10	13	41:46	43
12	Batman Petrolspor	34	11	10	13	38:38	43
13	Yesil Bursa	34	11	8	15	40:35	41
14	Dardanelspor	34	11	8	15	42:54	41
15	Pazarspor	34	11	6	17	34:46	39
16	Dersim Spor	34	9	6	19	33:54	33
17	Derincespor	34	5	11	18	31:59	26
18	Kirikkale FK	34	4	11	19	28:61	23