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Derincespor vs Manisa FK

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ustun U.
61' Event
Akcam A.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Akbulut Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 game between Derincespor and Manisa FK finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Derincespor
6%
Draws
90%
Manisa FK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manisa FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manisa FK come out ahead of Derincespor on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Manisa FK taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 17%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derincespor Manisa FK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Manisa FK
3:3
Sep 17, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Manisa FK vs Derincespor
4:1
Jan 31, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Manisa FK vs Derincespor
3:2
Sep 13, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Manisa FK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ustun U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irmak B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kedikli O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 10 / 100
Manisa FK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derincespor Manisa FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Derincespor found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Manisa FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Derincespor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manisa FK
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123