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Derincespor vs Sakaryaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2016/2017
Tue, Sep 6, 2016
1 - 2
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derincespor play Sakaryaspor in the Turkish Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derincespor averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Sakaryaspor averaged 0.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Derincespor won 1, Sakaryaspor won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 6, 2016 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Derincespor and 0.68 for Sakaryaspor. This points to a Sakaryaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Derincespor
22%
Draws
18%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Derincespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakaryaspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Derincespor.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Derincespor.
  • Cup tournament structure in Turkish Cup 2016/2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 68%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derincespor Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 Turkish Cup
Derincespor vs Sakaryaspor
1:2
Mar 15, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Sakaryaspor
0:0
Sep 5, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Sakaryaspor vs Derincespor
0:0
Sep 11, 2013 Turkish Cup
Derincespor vs Sakaryaspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aktas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sakaryaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akyildiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 68 / 100
Sakaryaspor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derincespor Sakaryaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Sakaryaspor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Derincespor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sakaryaspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sakaryaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sivasspor-
TBD-
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu0
Bucaspor 19281
Sultanbeyli2
Sultangazi Spor1
TBD-
Mamak-
Pendikspor-
TBD-
Orduspor0
Kirikkale FK1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Bursaspor-
TBD-
Tekirdagspor0
Bayrampasa3
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
Arakli 19610
Yomraspor1
Inegolspor-
TBD-
Catalca Spor0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi1
Bodrumspor1
Muglaspor0
TBD-
Sariyer-
Bandirmaspor-
TBD-
Karacabey Bld.0
Yesil Bursa1
Alanyaspor-
TBD-
Beylerbeyi SK0
Sancaktepe1
24Erzincanspor1
Musspor0
TBD-
Adanaspor AS-
Kurtalanspor1
Vanspor FK0
TBD-
Yeni Malatyaspor-
Kayserispor-
TBD-
Dardanelspor0
Orhangazispor1
Sivas Dort-
TBD-
TBD-
Bucaspor-
Amasyaspor1
Ankara Demirspor0
TBD-
Kayseri Erciyesspor-
Kemerspor 20032
Payasspor0
TBD-
Denizlispor-
Elazigspor-
TBD-
Kilis Bld.0
Sarayonu Spor1
Kardemir Karabuk-
TBD-
TBD-
Ofspor-
Erzurumspor FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Adanademirspor-
Kastamonuspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Tuzlaspor-
Gaziantepspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Eyupspor-
1461 Trabzon-
TBD-
Pazarspor1
Trabzon FK3
Amedspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Nigde Anadolu-
Beykoz Ishakli Spor-
TBD-
TBD-
Keciorengucu-
Rizespor-
TBD-
Izmir Coruhlu2
Manisa FK3
Kirikhanspor2
Kozanspor0
TBD-
Fethiyespor-
Tepecik-
TBD-
Iskenderunspor0
Manavgatspor1
Zonguldak Komurspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Sanliurfaspor-
Samsunspor-
TBD-
Batman Petrolspor0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)4
Cankaya FK3
Erbaaspor2
TBD-
Menemenspor-
Kirklarelispor-
TBD-
TBD-
Etimesgut-
Duzcespor3
Kocaelispor1
TBD-
Gaziantep-
Akhisarspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kartalspor3
Maltepespor1
TBD-
Nazillispor-
Afyonspor2
Yozgatspor0
TBD-
Karsiyaka-
Silivrispor1
Edirnespor Genclik0
TBD-
Umraniyespor-
Kasimpasa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hacettepe SK-
TBD-
TBD-
Kahramanmarasspor-
Kizilcabolukspor5
Altay2
TBD-
Mersin-
Sakaryaspor2
Derincespor1
TBD-
Korfez SK-
Balikesirspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Hatayspor-
Ankaragucu-
TBD-
Golcukspor0
Darica Genclerbirligi1
Corum FK4
Bartinspor1
TBD-
Manisaspor-
Serhat Ardahanspor1
Bayburt Ozel Idare0
TBD-
Trabzonspor-
Galatasaray-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Eskisehirspor-
TBD-
12 Bingol Spor1
Dersim Spor2
F. Karagumruk-
TBD-
TBD-
Giresunspor-
Kutahyaspor1
Saraykoy 19260
TBD-
Goztepe-
Boluspor-
TBD-
Aksaray Bld.0
Nevsehir2
Tokatspor-
TBD-
Igdir Aras Spor0
23 Elazig FK2
Aydinspor-
TBD-
Hakkari Spor0
Cizrespor4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Antalyaspor-
Gumushanespor-
TBD-
Tarsus1
Karaman FK2
Altinordu-
TBD-
TBD-
1922 Konyaspor-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
Sivasspor3
Bucaspor 19281
Sultanbeyli0
Mamak2
Pendikspor3
Kirikkale FK2
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Bursaspor1
Bayrampasa0
Istanbulspor AS0
Yomraspor1
Inegolspor3
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi0
Bodrumspor0
Sariyer1
Bandirmaspor3
Yesil Bursa1
Alanyaspor0
Sancaktepe1
24Erzincanspor3
Adanaspor AS2
Kurtalanspor0
Yeni Malatyaspor4
Kayserispor3
Orhangazispor2
Sivas Dort1
Bucaspor2
Amasyaspor1
Kayseri Erciyesspor0
Kemerspor 20031
Denizlispor2
Elazigspor6
Sarayonu Spor4
Kardemir Karabuk3
Ofspor5
Erzurumspor FK3
Adanademirspor1
Kastamonuspor1
Tuzlaspor2
Gaziantepspor2
Eyupspor0
1461 Trabzon0
Trabzon FK2
Amedspor2
Nigde Anadolu0
Beykoz Ishakli Spor0
Keciorengucu2
Rizespor4
Manisa FK2
Kirikhanspor1
Fethiyespor3
Tepecik3
Manavgatspor2
Zonguldak Komurspor1
Sanliurfaspor2
Samsunspor2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)1
Cankaya FK0
Menemenspor3
Kirklarelispor2
Etimesgut1
Duzcespor0
Gaziantep1
Akhisarspor-
TBD-
Kartalspor0
Nazillispor3
Afyonspor2
Karsiyaka1
Silivrispor1
Umraniyespor2
Kasimpasa-
TBD-
Hacettepe SK1
Kahramanmarasspor2
Kizilcabolukspor5
Mersin1
Sakaryaspor0
Korfez SK2
Balikesirspor1
Hatayspor0
Ankaragucu0
Darica Genclerbirligi2
Corum FK3
Manisaspor1
Serhat Ardahanspor0
Trabzonspor6
Galatasaray-
TBD-
Eskisehirspor0
Dersim Spor1
F. Karagumruk1
Giresunspor0
Kutahyaspor0
Goztepe5
Boluspor4
Nevsehir0
Tokatspor2
23 Elazig FK4
Aydinspor2
Cizrespor0
TBD-
Antalyaspor-
Gumushanespor3
Karaman FK2
Altinordu0
1922 Konyaspor1
TBD-
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Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
TBD-
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Stage 1
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Final
Sivasspor3
Mamak2
Pendikspor0
Genclerbirligi1
Bursaspor3
Yomraspor0
Inegolspor3
Sariyer2
Bandirmaspor2
Sancaktepe3
24Erzincanspor2
Yeni Malatyaspor1
Kayserispor1
Bucaspor0
Amasyaspor1
Denizlispor0
Elazigspor2
Ofspor1
Erzurumspor FK1
Tuzlaspor4
Gaziantepspor1
Trabzon FK0
Amedspor2
Keciorengucu1
Rizespor3
Fethiyespor0
Tepecik0
Sanliurfaspor2
Samsunspor1
Menemenspor4
Kirklarelispor2
Gaziantep1
Akhisarspor5
Nazillispor2
Afyonspor1
Umraniyespor2
Kasimpasa2
Kahramanmarasspor0
Kizilcabolukspor2
Korfez SK1
Balikesirspor0
Darica Genclerbirligi1
Corum FK1
Trabzonspor2
Galatasaray5
Dersim Spor1
F. Karagumruk0
Goztepe3
Boluspor1
23 Elazig FK0
Aydinspor1
Antalyaspor0
Gumushanespor2
1922 Konyaspor1
TBD-
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