Sport Picks
Derio vs Lagun Onak
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Derio advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lagun Onak have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — Derio are scoring more at 1.38.
- Derio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Derio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derio | Lagun Onak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derio Compare
Lagun Onak Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derio found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Derio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Lagun Onak let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
