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Derio vs Salamanca CF UDS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Derio Logo

Derio

Wed, Sep 16, 2026
3 - 5
05:45 PM
Salamanca CF UDS Logo

Salamanca CF UDS

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Vicandi A.
18' Event
Caramelo A.
31' Event
Carreras Arino G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-5. The second leg ended 3-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Derio
15%
Draws
40%
Salamanca CF UDS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salamanca CF UDS come out ahead of Derio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Derio a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Salamanca CF UDS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Salamanca CF UDS, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Derio Clean Sheet 68%
Salamanca CF UDS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derio Salamanca CF UDS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Federacion
Derio vs Salamanca CF UDS
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derio Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreras Arino G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Salamanca CF UDS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicandi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caramelo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derio 50 / 100
Salamanca CF UDS 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derio Salamanca CF UDS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Derio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Salamanca CF UDS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Derio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derio VS Salamanca CF UDS
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derio

(Home)
04 Oct
Derio
2 : 0
Beasain
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5
Salamanca CF UDS
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
Page 1 of 6

Salamanca CF UDS

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -