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Derio vs Sestao

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Derio and Sestao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Derio
20%
Draws
48%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sestao haven't matched Derio's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Derio Clean Sheet 20%
Sestao Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derio Sestao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Derio vs Sestao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derio 32 / 100
Sestao 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derio Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derio's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sestao conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Derio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Derio VS Sestao
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derio

(Home)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5
Salamanca CF UDS
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0
Real Sociedad C
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Sestao

(Away)
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
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