Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Bluebell Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Patterson R.
83' Event
McNamee B.
90' Event
Sherlock P.

AI Match Summary

Derry City in this FAI Cup 2013 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Derry City
20%
Draws
0%
Bluebell Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Bluebell Utd haven't matched Derry City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Derry City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Bluebell Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Bluebell Utd
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 14 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2013 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Bluebell Utd
2:1
Aug 23, 2013 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Bluebell Utd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Patterson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McNamee B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Bluebell Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherlock P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 95 / 100
Bluebell Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Bluebell Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Bluebell Utd has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Derry City scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Bluebell Utd let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Bluebell Utd

(Away)
31 Jul
Bluebell Utd
0 : 7
Galway United
16 Jul
Bluebell Utd
3 : 4
Newry City
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
20 Aug
Bluebell Utd
0 : 1
Kilnamanagh
08 Aug
Kilbarrack Utd
2 : 1
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3