Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry

Derry City

1 - 2

CSKA Sofia

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Santos K. In: Twisk N.

Out: Santos K.

46'

Martino A.

47'

Chapman E.

Assist: Fleming B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Derry City

20%

Draws

34%

CSKA Sofia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

CSKA Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
CSKA Sofia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
CSKA Sofia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derry City	CSKA Sofia
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	18
Draws	12	4
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.53
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

1:2

Jul 9, 2026 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

3:2

Aug 6, 2009 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

1:1

Jul 30, 2009 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapman E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittas I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 29 / 100

CSKA Sofia 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derry City CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

CSKA Sofia let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS CSKA Sofia

1.38 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)

30 Aug

Derry City

3 : 3

Shamrock Rovers

21 Aug

Bohemians

5 : 3

Derry City

14 Aug

UC Dublin

1 : 2

Derry City

07 Aug

Derry City

2 : 0

Sligo Rovers

02 Aug

St. Patricks

1 : 1

Derry City

Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia

(Away)

30 Aug

CSKA Sofia

3 : 1

Cherno More

27 Aug

CSKA Sofia

0 : 2

OFI Crete

20 Aug

OFI Crete

3 : 0

CSKA Sofia

16 Aug

CSKA Sofia

5 : 0

Botev Vratsa

13 Aug

CSKA Sofia

1 : 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Europe

Derry City

CSKA Sofia

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Derry City Compare

CSKA Sofia Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

CSKA Sofia

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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