Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Derry City Logo

Derry City

2 - 2
FT
Drogheda Logo

Drogheda

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Duffy M.
Assist: Stott J.
16'
Agbaje E.
46' Event
Markey D.
Assist: McClean J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Derry City and Drogheda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Derry City
20%
Draws
28%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Derry City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Derry City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Drogheda
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:0
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Drogheda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Markey D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davis W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 68 / 100
Drogheda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Derry City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Drogheda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Drogheda
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Drogheda

(Away)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)