Sport Picks
Derry City vs Dundalk
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
AI Match Summary
Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Dundalk have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Derry City have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Derry City slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 2.00, favoring Derry City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dundalk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Derry City's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derry City scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Dundalk let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Derry City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home)Dundalk
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
