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Derry City vs Monaghan United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Aug 10, 2012
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derry City host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. This one's hard to separate. Derry City have averaged 1.58 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Monaghan United's 0.91 scored and 2.09 conceded. Head-to-head, Derry City have won 2 to Monaghan United's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.44) point toward Derry City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Derry City
30%
Draws
27%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derry City lately — more wins on the board than Monaghan United.
  • Model gives Derry City a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Derry City Clean Sheet 16%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Monaghan United
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.58 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Derry City
0:0
Aug 10, 2012 Premier Division
Derry City vs Monaghan United
0:0
May 15, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Derry City
1:4
Oct 30, 2010 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Derry City
0:1
Aug 6, 2010 Division 1
Derry City vs Monaghan United
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 39 / 100
Monaghan United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monaghan United conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

Derry City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)