Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Celtic Park

Derry City

1 - 0

Shamrock Rovers

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Clarke J.

Assist: McClean P.

44'

Mulraney J.

51'

Sobowale T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derry City in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Derry City

28%

Draws

50%

Shamrock Rovers

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Derry City haven't matched Shamrock Rovers's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Shamrock Rovers's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Derry City Clean Sheet 14%

Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derry City	Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	18
Draws	11	5
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Jan 31, 2026 Super Cup

Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Oct 26, 2025 Premier Division

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 23 / 100

Shamrock Rovers 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derry City Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Derry City scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Shamrock Rovers let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Derry City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Shamrock Rovers

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20