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Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hakiki J.
Assist: Esua J.
60'
Sub
Markey D. In: O'Reilly A.
Out: Markey D.
60'
Sub
Kavanagh C. In: Meekison A.
Out: Kavanagh C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Derry City and Sligo Rovers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Derry City
20%
Draws
0%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sligo Rovers haven't matched Derry City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Derry City a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Derry City Clean Sheet 18%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakiki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 85 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Sligo Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sligo Rovers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sligo Rovers conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Sligo Rovers
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7

Sligo Rovers

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)