Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hakiki J.
Assist: Esua J.
60'
Sub
Markey D. In: O'Reilly A.
Out: Markey D.
60'
Sub
Kavanagh C. In: Meekison A.
Out: Kavanagh C.

AI Match Summary

Derry City play Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derry City averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Sligo Rovers averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Derry City won 2, Sligo Rovers won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Derry City and 1.13 for Sligo Rovers. This points to a Derry City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Derry City
28%
Draws
22%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Derry City demonstrates higher offensive output (1.38 avg goals) than Sligo Rovers (1 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Derry City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier Division provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Derry City Clean Sheet 20%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sligo Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakiki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 49 / 100
Sligo Rovers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Sligo Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Sligo Rovers let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Derry City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sligo Rovers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Sligo Rovers
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020