Sport Picks
Derry City vs St. Patricks
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
Match Events
17'
17'
Dummigan C.
33'
33'
O'Reilly A.
38'
38'
Lennon J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Patricks lately — more wins on the board than Derry City.
- Model gives Derry City a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Derry City Clean Sheet 14%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
1:1
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
2:2
Jun 23, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derry City 41 / 100
St. Patricks 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derry City St. Patricks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derry City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: St. Patricks conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Derry City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Derry City VS St. Patricks
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home) 11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0 Tolka
Page 1 of 3
St. Patricks
(Away) 11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2 St. Patricks
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2 St. Patricks
10 Jul
Waterford
1 : 1 St. Patricks
26 Jun
Bohemians
2 : 0 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51:25 | 56 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | 56 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 47:50 | 41 |
| 5 | Derry City | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 44:42 | 38 |
| 6 | Galway United | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41:46 | 37 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 38:42 | 36 |
| 8 | Waterford | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:51 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 37:49 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
