Sport Picks
Derry City vs St. Patricks
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
AI Match Summary
Derry City host St. Patricks in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. St. Patricks have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Derry City have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Derry City have won 1 to St. Patricks's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.63) back St. Patricks to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Derry City on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | St. Patricks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Derry City scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
St. Patricks let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home)St. Patricks
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Galway United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
