Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Glentoran W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Foy J.
24' Event
Rogan R.
47' Event
O'Connor T.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women 2025 game between Derry City W and Glentoran W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glentoran W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Derry City W
39%
Draws
30%
Glentoran W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran W come out ahead of Derry City W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Glentoran W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Glentoran W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Glentoran W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 25
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.88 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
2:4
Jun 13, 2025 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
4:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
1:6
Jun 14, 2024 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connor T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Glentoran W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogan R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Foy J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 30 / 100
Glentoran W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Glentoran W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Derry City W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Derry City W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Glentoran W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Glentoran W
1.88 Goals Scored 3.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran W14130157:1039
2Cliftonville W14121142:637
3Linfield W14101359:1931
4Lisburn Rangers W1470724:2621
5Crusaders W1460824:3718
6Derry City W14401017:3512
7Lisburn Ladies W1411125:444
8Larne W14111210:614