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Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Glentoran W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Loughran F.

AI Match Summary

Glentoran W in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Glentoran W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
40%
Glentoran W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Glentoran W have won more games recently than Derry City W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Glentoran W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Glentoran W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Glentoran W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 26
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.63 3.44
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
0:1
Jun 28, 2026 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
2:4
Jun 13, 2025 Premiership Women
Glentoran W vs Derry City W
4:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Glentoran W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Glentoran W Compare

Top Goalscorer Loughran F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 30 / 100
Glentoran W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Glentoran W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Derry City W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Glentoran W conceded in 53% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Glentoran W
2.13 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
Page 1 of 6

Glentoran W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cliftonville W
4 : 1
Glentoran W
27 Sept
Glentoran W
4 : 0
Lisburn Rangers W
20 Sept
Glentoran W
2 : 3
Linfield W
07 Sept
Glentoran W
4 : 2
Linfield W
04 Sept
Lisburn Ladies W
0 : 4
Glentoran W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)