Sport Picks
Derthona FbC vs Asti Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group A 
Match Events
36'
36'
Moriano A.
76'
76'
Masawoud M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A game between Derthona FbC and Asti Calcio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asti Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Asti Calcio come out ahead of Derthona FbC on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 19%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derthona FbC | Asti Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Derthona FbC
2:3
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Asti Calcio
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Derthona FbC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derthona FbC Compare
Top Goalscorer Moriano A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Asti Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Masawoud M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derthona FbC 32 / 100
Asti Calcio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derthona FbC Asti Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derthona FbC's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Asti Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derthona FbC VS Asti Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Derthona FbC
(Home) 01 Nov
Derthona FbC
4 : 3 GSD Lascaris
25 Oct
Bra
0 : 0 Derthona FbC
18 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
11 Oct
Chisola
4 : 2 Derthona FbC
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3 Alessandria
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Derthona FbC
4 : 3 GSD Lascaris
18 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3 Alessandria
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0 Millesimo
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Asti Calcio
(Away) 31 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 2 Asti Calcio
25 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 3 Borgosesia Calcio
18 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
11 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 1 GSD Lascaris
04 Oct
Asti Calcio
2 : 0 Millesimo
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Fezzanese
0 : 2 Asti Calcio
18 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2 Asti Calcio
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Chisola | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:12 | 20 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Derthona FbC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Millesimo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Imperia Calcio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Gozzano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Saluzzo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Borgosesia Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 13 | GSD Lascaris | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Fezzanese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Bra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Sestri Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5:19 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)
