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Derthona FbC vs Stresa Vergante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Romairone A.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Ciko S.
76' Event
Tambussi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Derthona FbC and Stresa Vergante finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Derthona FbC
44%
Draws
20%
Stresa Vergante
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derthona FbC come out ahead of Stresa Vergante on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 20%
Stresa Vergante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Stresa Vergante
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Stresa Vergante
3:0
Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Stresa Vergante vs Derthona FbC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tambussi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Stresa Vergante Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 36 / 100
Stresa Vergante 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Stresa Vergante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Derthona FbC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Stresa Vergante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Derthona FbC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
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Stresa Vergante

(Away)
07 May
Stresa Vergante
0 : 0
Sanremese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 0
Legnano
16 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Stresa Vergante
06 Apr
Stresa Vergante
1 : 1
Bra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestri Levante38304477:2994
2Sanremese382111659:3374
3Bra382111659:3174
4Vado381912761:4069
5Ligorna381715650:3666
6Legnano381791253:3560
7Asti Calcio381318744:3557
8Gozzano381671551:4855
9Borgosesia Calcio3814101454:5452
10PDHA3812111533:4347
11Castellanzese3811131451:5546
12AC Chieri3810151341:4545
13Fezzanese3811121547:5845
14Chisola3811101743:5343
15Pinerolo388181238:4442
16Derthona FbC389151455:6242
17Castanese389121743:5739
18Stresa Vergante387131837:4734
19Casale38592428:7924
20Fossano381112640:8014
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)