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Derthona FbC vs Vado Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Alfiero V.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Derthona FbC
30%
Draws
6%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Vado have won more games recently than Derthona FbC.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Derthona FbC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vado here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Vado
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Vado
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Derthona FbC
1:0
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Vado
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Derthona FbC
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Vado
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfiero V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 95 / 100
Vado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Derthona FbC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Derthona FbC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vado conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Vado lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Vado
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)