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Derthona FbC vs Vallee d'Aoste

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2014/2015 game between Derthona FbC and Vallee d'Aoste finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Derthona FbC
15%
Draws
0%
Vallee d'Aoste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derthona FbC come out ahead of Vallee d'Aoste on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Derthona FbC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 20%
Vallee d'Aoste Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Vallee d'Aoste
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Vallee d'Aoste
2:0
Nov 30, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vallee d'Aoste vs Derthona FbC
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 85 / 100
Vallee d'Aoste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Vallee d'Aoste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vallee d'Aoste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vallee d'Aoste registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Derthona FbC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 9

Vallee d'Aoste

(Away)
10 May
Acqui US
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
03 May
Vallee d'Aoste
0 : 1
Cuneo
26 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
3 : 1
Vallee d'Aoste
19 Apr
Vallee d'Aoste
2 : 3
AC Chieri
12 Apr
Derthona FbC
2 : 0
Vallee d'Aoste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuneo 38 24 7 7 63:30 79
2 Sestri Levante 38 22 12 4 48:24 78
3 AC Chieri 38 22 8 8 60:36 74
4 Borgosesia Calcio 38 22 7 9 73:46 73
5 Caronnese 38 19 14 5 62:33 71
6 Pro Settimo 38 19 9 10 56:41 66
7 Bra 38 18 11 9 68:49 65
8 OltrepoVoghera 38 18 7 13 59:50 61
9 Lavagnese 38 16 10 12 50:43 58
10 Acqui US 38 14 12 12 53:49 54
11 Sporting Bellinzago 38 14 9 15 56:60 51
12 Vado 38 13 8 17 54:62 47
13 Novese 38 12 9 17 45:48 45
14 Asti Calcio 38 11 11 16 40:50 44
15 Argentina 38 11 11 16 58:70 44
16 RapalloBogliasco 38 11 9 18 46:57 42
17 Sancolombano 38 7 12 19 29:48 33
18 Derthona FbC 38 6 9 23 30:61 27
19 Vallee d'Aoste 38 5 6 27 37:74 21
20 Borgomanero 38 3 5 30 29:85 14
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