Sport Picks
Desenzano Calvina vs Arconatese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Desenzano Calvina lately — more wins on the board than Arconatese.
- Model gives Desenzano Calvina a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Arconatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Arconatese
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Desenzano Calvina
1:4
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Arconatese
1:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Desenzano Calvina
1:3
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Desenzano Calvina 59 / 100
Arconatese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Desenzano Calvina Arconatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Desenzano Calvina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.
Arconatese has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Desenzano Calvina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Desenzano Calvina VS Arconatese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Desenzano Calvina
(Home) 06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 8
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
09 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
02 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 1 Parma U20
24 May
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
Page 1 of 4
Arconatese
(Away) 06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
27 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Chievo
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
04 May
Breno
4 : 1 Arconatese
17 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 0 Arconatese
06 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
3 : 0 Arconatese
30 Mar
Magenta
1 : 1 Arconatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:34 | 75 |
| 2 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 69:36 | 70 |
| 3 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:29 | 69 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 58:34 | 68 |
| 5 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 66:42 | 68 |
| 6 | Varesina | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:44 | 64 |
| 7 | Chievo | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:37 | 57 |
| 8 | Pro Sesto | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Club Milano | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 44:50 | 49 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Sondrio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Breno | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:53 | 47 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 43:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Vigasio | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:41 | 45 |
| 15 | Sangiuliano City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39:46 | 45 |
| 16 | Crema | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:57 | 44 |
| 17 | Magenta | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33:53 | 36 |
| 18 | Fanfulla | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 28:57 | 32 |
| 19 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 41:70 | 31 |
| 20 | Arconatese | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 33:64 | 31 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
