Sport Picks
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto 
Match Events
26'
26'
Lupano L.
37'
37'
Pellegrino G.
Assist: Moutassime A.
43'
43'
Rizzo M.
Assist: Urso O.
AI Match Summary
Lecco in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Lecco haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Desenzano Calvina vs Lecco
1:3
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Top Goalscorer Liberati F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Lecco Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrino G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rizzo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Desenzano Calvina 41 / 100
Lecco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Desenzano Calvina Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Desenzano Calvina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Desenzano Calvina found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Lecco let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Desenzano Calvina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Desenzano Calvina VS Lecco
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Desenzano Calvina
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
09 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Giana Erminio
02 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 1 Parma U20
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
