Sport Picks

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto

Ospitaletto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desenzano Calvina host Ospitaletto in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Desenzano Calvina at 1.07 goals for, 0.72 against; Ospitaletto at 1.53 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Desenzano Calvina slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.44) back Desenzano Calvina to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Desenzano Calvina

20%

Draws

36%

Ospitaletto

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desenzano Calvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Desenzano Calvina come out ahead of Ospitaletto on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Desenzano Calvina taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 16%

Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Ospitaletto
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	8	11
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	1.07	1.53
Goals Conceded	0.72	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B

Ospitaletto vs Desenzano Calvina

2:1

Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B

Desenzano Calvina vs Ospitaletto

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 36 / 100

Ospitaletto 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desenzano Calvina Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ospitaletto let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Desenzano Calvina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS Ospitaletto

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History