Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012 Chernihiv Stadium

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desna play FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi in the Druha Liga 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desna averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Desna won 4, FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2012 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Desna and 1.00 for FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi. This points to a Desna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Desna

15%

Draws

33%

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Desna picked up more points recently compared to FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Desna Clean Sheet 23%

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Desna	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played	20	34
Wins	7	6
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	26
Goals Scored	1.55	0.68
Goals Conceded	1.35	1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2012 Druha Liga

Desna vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sep 10, 2011 Druha Liga

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Desna

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

May 7, 2011 Druha Liga

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Desna

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sep 4, 2010 Druha Liga

Desna vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Mar 26, 2007 Persha Liga

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Desna

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desna 51 / 100

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Desna FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desna or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desna attacking → ← attacking FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desna scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Desna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 20

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sumy	26	21	3	2	51:13	66
2	Desna	26	18	5	3	48:19	59
3	Cherkashchyna	26	15	8	3	36:16	53
4	Nova Kakhovka	26	15	7	4	51:18	52
5	UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka	26	14	6	6	43:25	48
6	Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)	26	11	6	9	40:32	33
7	Real Pharma Odesa	26	9	6	11	28:41	33
8	Krystal	26	9	5	12	30:32	32
9	Skala Stryj	26	8	4	14	26:36	28
10	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	26	6	4	16	23:50	22
11	Ch. Odesa 2	26	5	5	16	19:20	20
12	Nyva Ternopil	26	9	6	11	30:41	18
13	Yednist	26	3	6	17	19:57	15
14	Yalpuh Bolhrad	26	2	1	23	10:54	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Poltava	26	18	5	3	50:19	59
2	Kramatorsk 2	26	19	1	6	41:15	58
3	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	15	6	5	49:23	51
4	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	16	3	7	44:22	51
5	Kremin	26	16	3	7	34:23	51
6	Stal Kamianske	26	15	3	8	34:19	48
7	Myr Hornostajivka	26	13	7	6	36:26	46
8	Shakhtar 3	26	10	1	15	46:56	31
9	Hirnyk-Sport	26	6	8	12	28:39	26
10	FC Sevastopol 2	26	7	3	16	26:51	24
11	Dnipro II	26	6	5	15	24:45	23
12	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	5	3	18	19:43	18
13	FC Mariupol II	26	5	2	19	25:47	17
14	FC Nikopol	26	5	2	19	20:48	17