Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportiva Aracaju vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wendel R. N. J.
54' Event
Lorran
90' Event
Danielzinho

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between Desportiva Aracaju and Confianca finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Confianca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Desportiva Aracaju
33%
Draws
40%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Confianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Aracaju come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Confianca a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 24%
Confianca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Confianca
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Sergipano
Desportiva Aracaju vs Confianca
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Aracaju Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel R. N. J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorran
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 29 / 100
Confianca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju Confianca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Aracaju's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Confianca let in goals in 63% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Confianca has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Confianca
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sergipe962113:620
2Itabaiana952212:417
3Lagarto944116:816
4Confianca943210:615
5Guarany SE933310:1012
6America de Propria92618:812
7Falcon93248:1011
8Atletico Gloriense931514:1310
9Dorense92169:237
10Desportiva Aracaju90275:172