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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Soares de Oliveira J.
46'
Sub
Andrade In: Marcus Paulo
Out: Andrade
46'
Sub
Ruan In: Kieza
Out: Ruan

AI Match Summary

Capixaba SC in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capixaba SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
20%
Draws
38%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Capixaba SC
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Capixaba SC
0:1
May 3, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Capixaba SC
1:1
May 29, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Capixaba SC
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 42 / 100
Capixaba SC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Capixaba SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Capixaba SC let in goals in 70% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Desportiva Ferroviaria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Capixaba SC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155