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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Castelo FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria in this Campeonato Capixaba 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22%
Draws
60%
Castelo FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Castelo FC.
  • Model gives Castelo FC a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Castelo FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Mar 1, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:0
Jan 31, 2015 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Castelo FC
1:2
Apr 30, 2014 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Castelo FC
2:0
Feb 27, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 20 / 100
Castelo FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Castelo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Castelo FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 7

Castelo FC

(Away)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)