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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Galatas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Desportiva Ferroviaria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
28%
Draws
22%
Galatas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Ferroviaria come out ahead of Galatas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Galatas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 17%
Galatas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Galatas
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Mar 8, 2017 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Galatas
0:1
May 7, 2016 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Galatas
1:0
Apr 30, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Apr 21, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 48 / 100
Galatas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Galatas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Galatas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Galatas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 7

Galatas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galatas
0 : 2
Serra
14 Sept
Sport-ES
1 : 2
Galatas
05 Sept
Pinheiros
3 : 1
Galatas
30 Aug
Galatas
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Aug
GEL
1 : 1
Galatas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Galatas0
Desportiva Ferroviaria2