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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria play Nova Venecia in the Capixaba 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desportiva Ferroviaria averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Nova Venecia averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Desportiva Ferroviaria won 1, Nova Venecia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Desportiva Ferroviaria and 1.19 for Nova Venecia. This points to a Desportiva Ferroviaria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
6%
Draws
4%
Nova Venecia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nova Venecia.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Desportiva Ferroviaria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Capixaba 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%
Nova Venecia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Nova Venecia
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Capixaba
Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
2:0
Apr 10, 2022 Capixaba
Nova Venecia vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1
Apr 3, 2022 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Nova Venecia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desportiva Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Victor Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nova Venecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 95 / 100
Nova Venecia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Nova Venecia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Nova Venecia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nova Venecia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco ES961213:519
2Real Noroeste953117:918
3Desportiva Ferroviaria944113:1116
4Porto Vitoria94329:815
5Jaguare93518:814
6Rio Branco-VN92438:910
7Vitoria ES923411:119
8Nova Venecia91537:128
9Serra912611:165
10Estrela do Norte90452:104