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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Leo Baiano
27'
Victor Rangel
29'
Victor Rangel

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Capixaba matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
28%
Draws
50%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria haven't matched Porto Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • Porto Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Capixaba form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 16%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1
Jul 22, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
Jun 18, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Porto Vitoria
2:1
Feb 13, 2025 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 23 / 100
Porto Vitoria 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Porto Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Porto Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria ES962114:420
2Serra942310:614
3Vilavelhense94148:1013
4Rio Branco ES934210:613
5Porto Vitoria93427:513
6Desportiva Ferroviaria932410:1111
7Real Noroeste93249:1311
8Forte92525:411
9Capixaba SC93156:1310
10Rio Branco-VN90548:155
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)