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Desportiva Guarabira vs Atletico Cajazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Desportiva Guarabira host Atletico Cajazeirense in the Paraibano 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Desportiva Guarabira have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Atletico Cajazeirense's 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Atletico Cajazeirense slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.54) point toward Atletico Cajazeirense. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Guarabira
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Cajazeirense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Cajazeirense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Desportiva Guarabira.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Desportiva Guarabira.
  • Cup tournament structure in Paraibano 2 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Guarabira Atletico Cajazeirense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Atletico Cajazeirense
2:2
Aug 28, 2025 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
2:3
Oct 1, 2023 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
7:1
Mar 21, 2018 Paraibano
Desportiva Guarabira vs Atletico Cajazeirense
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Guarabira 84 / 100
Atletico Cajazeirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Guarabira Atletico Cajazeirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Guarabira scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Cajazeirense let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Desportiva Guarabira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Cajazeirense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Guarabira VS Atletico Cajazeirense
1.83 Goals Scored 1.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico Cajazeirense-
TBD-
Miramar EC1
Desportiva Guarabira4
Cruzeiro-PB-
TBD-
Confianca PB1
Sao Paulo Crystal0
Semi-finals
Atletico Cajazeirense5
Desportiva Guarabira4
Cruzeiro-PB2
Confianca PB3
Final
Atletico Cajazeirense1
Confianca PB3